ICT Weekly Profiles: Weekday Hypotheses to Record and Test

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Weekly profiles are templates some ICT traders use to categorize when a weekly high or low might form. They are hypotheses, not validated forecasts; test each version on consecutive weeks and include weeks that do not fit.

The Foundation: Weekly AMD

Some ICT explanations map AMD labels onto the trading week. That is an interpretation of the observed path, not evidence that participants built positions according to a fixed weekday schedule; define each phase before reviewing results.

One candidate weekly profile places an extreme early in the week and later movement in the opposite direction. Do not call it the most common without a sourced dataset; record all weeks and compare the frequency with a simple baseline.

The Five Main Weekly Profiles

This is one illustrative bullish-week scenario, not a required calendar path. A weekly low may form later, price may reverse midweek, or Friday may sell off; log the observed extreme and outcome rather than forcing the week into the template.

This is one illustrative bearish-week scenario, not a forecast. The high may form on another day and Friday may rally or range; use prewritten criteria and retain counterexamples in the test.

Profile 3 — Wednesday Reversal Bullish: The week makes a lower low into Wednesday (sweeping weekly SSL), then reverses and delivers higher for the rest of the week. The Wednesday low is the entry point for the weekly high target.

Profile 4 — Wednesday Reversal Bearish: The week makes a higher high into Wednesday (sweeping weekly BSL), then reverses lower for the remainder of the week. The Wednesday high is the sell entry for the weekly low target.

Profile 5 — Range Expansion: Price consolidates Monday and Tuesday with a very tight range, then expands dramatically from Wednesday onward in one direction. This profile follows a very tight Asian-range-like accumulation before a large London/New York style distribution.

Using Weekly Profiles in Practice

• •On Sunday evening, review the weekly chart and determine the weekly bias (bullish or bearish) and the weekly DOL (previous week's high or low).
• •Note the previous week's high and low — these are the BSL and SSL targets for the new week.
• •As Monday and Tuesday develop, observe which weekly profile appears to be forming. Is price making the early week manipulation (Judas Swing) or is it consolidating?
• •By mid-Tuesday, you should be able to identify the likely profile. If Tuesday shows the weekly low being established with a sweep of Monday's low followed by a reversal, Profile 1 (Classic Bullish) is developing.
• •Adjust your daily bias entries for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday based on the identified weekly profile.

Worked hypothetical example

A trader selects a written weekly-profile classification and labels each week only after its final high and low are known in the test dataset. For a live plan, the trader writes a conditional scenario before the week ends and records whether the expected pattern appears, including weeks that do not fit the template.

Failure case and what to test

Classifying the week after the fact can make many different outcomes fit the same profile. Small samples, holiday sessions, major news and inconsistent definitions can produce misleading conclusions.

Test checklist

• •Define each profile and its qualifying conditions before labeling weeks.
• •Use a sufficiently broad sample and keep a separate out-of-sample period.
• •Report exceptions and unclassified weeks instead of forcing every week into a category.

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